The Mets Make Their Case as New York’s Best Team

With talk earlier this year about this possibly being the best New York baseball season ever, it had seemed clear that there was at least a small divide between the city’s major league teams.

The Yankees were still the big dogs, and while the Mets were having a great season, they seemed less threatening.

After the games of July 23, just a bit more than two weeks ago, the Yankees were 65-31 and battling the Los Angeles Dodgers for baseball’s best record. The Mets were a creditable 58-37, putting them six and a half games behind their crosstown rivals and just a half-game ahead of their rival Atlanta Braves in the National League East.

Things changed in a hurry. Since then, the Mets are 14-2 and the Yankees are 6-9. That has put the Mets on top, at least for now. Through Tuesday’s games, the Mets are 72-39, a game better than the 71-40 Yankees. The Mets have also taken over the No. 2 record in the majors, behind the Dodgers, who are still flying high at 76-33.

Perhaps most important, the Mets have opened a seven-game lead over Atlanta.

The current hot streak began with a win over the San Diego Padres on July 24, but it took shape over the next two games, when the Mets hosted the Yankees at Citi Field for the first subway series of the season and came away with a two-game sweep.

Eduardo Escobar’s two-run homer against the Yankees on July 26 set the tone in the Mets’ two-game sweep.Credit…Brad Penner/USA Today Sports, via Reuters

“It was honestly like a World Series home run,” Eduardo Escobar told reporters after his two-run homer in the first inning helped lead the Mets to a 6-3 win in the first game. “I’ve never played in an environment like that.”

A Starling Marte walk-off single in the bottom of the ninth inning of the second game completed the sweep a day later.

The wins seemed to launch the Mets, and the momentum has kept going from there: a sweep of Miami, two of three from Washington and then a crucial four of five from the Braves that widened their division lead. Two wins over Cincinnati had moved them to 14-2 through Tuesday, with another game against the Reds scheduled for Wednesday afternoon.

The Mets have shown excellence on both sides of the diamond: They are in the top four in the majors in runs per game and runs allowed per game. (Unsurprisingly, the Yankees and Dodgers are, too.)

The Mets have been helped along the way by the return of Jacob deGrom from injury. He took a loss in his first game back, although he gave up just one run in five innings, then he struck out 12 in a 5-2 win Sunday over Atlanta, earning his first victory in more than a year. Max Scherzer, the team’s other ace, is 3-0 during the hot run, surrendering just two earned runs in three starts. And closer Edwin Díaz, who has been shredding the league with a 52.9 percent strikeout rate, saved six of the 14 wins.

On offense, the Mets have done it with depth. Not a single regular starter has an on-base plus slugging percentage above .900, but nearly everyone is chipping in. Five of Pete Alonso’s team-high 29 homers have come during the current run.

The return of Jacob deGrom after more than a year away with multiple injuries has been huge for the Mets. He has been sharp in two starts.Credit…Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Despite the hot streak, there are a few concerning signs. The Mets aren’t really blowing too many teams out. Thirteen of the 14 wins in their run were by four runs or fewer. Though the Yankees won only six games in that span, three of them were by six runs and two by five.

This follows a season-long pattern. The Yankees have a run differential of plus-205 on the season, behind only the Dodgers at plus-233. The Mets are plus-119. That is a good total, and a win is a win, but the huge scoring margins of the Dodgers and the Yankees could well be an indication that they can reach a higher gear.

In any case, the Mets lead the N.L. East comfortably, and the Yankees are up in their division by 10½ games. FanGraphs gives both teams a 100 percent chance of making the playoffs. So besides bragging rights, not much is on the line for which team winds up with the best record.

And yet … best regular-season record does determine home-field advantage in the World Series. There’s a long way to go, and a lot would have to break right, but if there should be the first Subway Series since 2000, every regular-season game might actually matter.

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