Poll
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News
No Poll Can Tell Biden What He Needs to Hear
“Will this be the thing that causes his voters to abandon him? How much will this hurt his numbers?” are…
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The Debate Hurt Biden, but the Real Shift Has Been Happening for Years
A 3-point move toward Trump in a new Times/Siena poll is not a fundamental change in the race, but it…
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Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.
The latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump up by six points among registered voters and three among likely voters.
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Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker
What do the polls say about the race for the White House? With less than five months to go, new…
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Methodology: How The Times Calculates 2024 Polling Averages
An average of surveys may sound straightforward, but even a simple approach faces a series of choices.
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News
I Was a Republican Partisan. It Altered the Way I Saw the World.
I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was…
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US
Battleground Polling Shows Ticket- Splitting Pattern
In four states where Biden trails among likely voters, Democratic Senate candidates are leading.
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Was Trump Benefiting From Being Out of the News?
His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change…
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You Ask, We Answer: How The Times/Siena Poll Is Conducted
The New York Times/Siena College Poll has earned a reputation for accuracy and transparency. But as with any poll, there…
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A Closer Look at a Slight Shift in the Polls
An average of recent surveys, including the Times/Siena poll, finds President Biden inching closer to Donald Trump.